Technology Ultrasector Profund Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 29.44
| TEPSX Fund | USD 31.53 0.02 0.06% |
Technology |
Technology Ultrasector Target Price Odds to finish below 29.44
The tendency of Technology Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 29.44 or more in 90 days |
| 31.53 | 90 days | 29.44 | about 31.25 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Technology Ultrasector to drop to $ 29.44 or more in 90 days from now is about 31.25 (This Technology Ultrasector Profund probability density function shows the probability of Technology Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Technology Ultrasector price to stay between $ 29.44 and its current price of $31.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.65 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Technology Ultrasector Profund has a beta of -0.11. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Technology Ultrasector are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Technology Ultrasector Profund is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Technology Ultrasector Profund has an alpha of 0.0788, implying that it can generate a 0.0788 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Technology Ultrasector Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Technology Ultrasector
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Technology Ultrasector. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Technology Ultrasector's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Technology Ultrasector Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Technology Ultrasector is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Technology Ultrasector's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Technology Ultrasector Profund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Technology Ultrasector within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Technology Ultrasector Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Technology Ultrasector for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Technology Ultrasector can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund maintains about 23.65% of its assets in cash |
Technology Ultrasector Technical Analysis
Technology Ultrasector's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Technology Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Technology Ultrasector Profund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Technology Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Technology Ultrasector Predictive Forecast Models
Technology Ultrasector's time-series forecasting models is one of many Technology Ultrasector's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Technology Ultrasector's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Technology Ultrasector
Checking the ongoing alerts about Technology Ultrasector for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Technology Ultrasector help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund maintains about 23.65% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Technology Mutual Fund
Technology Ultrasector financial ratios help investors to determine whether Technology Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Technology with respect to the benefits of owning Technology Ultrasector security.
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