Tglix Fund Chance of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 58.19

TGLIX Fund  USD 56.30  0.35  0.63%   
Tglix's future price is the expected price of Tglix instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tglix performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tglix Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Tglix Correlation, Tglix Hype Analysis, Tglix Volatility, Tglix History as well as Tglix Performance.
  
Please specify Tglix's target price for which you would like Tglix odds to be computed.

Tglix Target Price Odds to finish below 58.19

The tendency of Tglix Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 58.19  after 90 days
 56.30 90 days 58.19 
about 64.35
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tglix to stay under $ 58.19  after 90 days from now is about 64.35 (This Tglix probability density function shows the probability of Tglix Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tglix price to stay between its current price of $ 56.30  and $ 58.19  at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.59 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tglix has a beta of 0.12. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tglix average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tglix will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tglix has an alpha of 0.0432, implying that it can generate a 0.0432 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tglix Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tglix

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tglix. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
54.6056.3058.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
50.0851.7861.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
59.2560.9662.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
54.7956.0657.32
Details

Tglix Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tglix is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tglix's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tglix, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tglix within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
2.78
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Tglix Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tglix for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tglix can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 84.52% of its assets in stocks

Tglix Technical Analysis

Tglix's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tglix Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tglix. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tglix Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tglix Predictive Forecast Models

Tglix's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tglix's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tglix's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tglix

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tglix for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tglix help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 84.52% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Tglix Mutual Fund

Tglix financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tglix Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tglix with respect to the benefits of owning Tglix security.
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