Tglix Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

TGLIX Fund  USD 145.54  0.49  0.34%   
The entity has a beta of 0.1, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Tglix's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Tglix is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Tglix are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward indicators, Tglix showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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Tglix Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  11,021  in Tglix on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,533  from holding Tglix or generate 32.06% return on investment over 90 days. Tglix is currently producing 0.4988% returns and takes up 2.6091% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 23% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Tglix, and 90% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tglix is expected to generate 3.41 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.41 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.19 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Tglix Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
145.54
Please note that Tglix's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Tglix has a current Real Value of $137.54 per share. The regular price of the fund is $145.54. We determine the value of Tglix from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Tglix is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Tglix Mutual Fund. However, Tglix's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  145.54 Real  137.54 Hype  145.54 Naive  134.55
The intrinsic value of Tglix's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Tglix's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
134.93
Downside
137.54
Real Value
160.09
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Tglix helps investors to forecast how Tglix mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Tglix more accurately as focusing exclusively on Tglix's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
106.96133.97160.98
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
142.93145.54148.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
131.94134.55137.15
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Tglix extending back to April 08, 2019. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Tglix stands at 145.54, as last reported on the 6th of February, with the highest price reaching 145.54 and the lowest price hitting 145.54 during the day.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Tglix Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Tglix Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 145.54 90 days 145.54 
about 13.11
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tglix to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 13.11 (This Tglix probability density function shows the probability of Tglix Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tglix has a beta of 0.1. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tglix average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tglix will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tglix has an alpha of 0.4861, implying that it can generate a 0.49 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tglix Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tglix

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tglix. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
142.93145.54148.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
134.93137.54160.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
131.94134.55137.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
106.96133.97160.98
Details

Tglix Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tglix is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tglix's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tglix, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tglix within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.49
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.10
σ
Overall volatility
16.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Tglix Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tglix for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tglix can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 84.52% of its assets in stocks

Tglix Fundamentals Growth

Tglix Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Tglix, and Tglix fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Tglix Mutual Fund performance.

About Tglix Performance

Evaluating Tglix's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Tglix has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Tglix has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing, under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus borrowings for investment purposes, in gold and securities of companies located throughout the world, in both developed and emerging markets, that are engaged in mining or processing gold . Tocqueville Gold is traded on BATS Exchange in USA.

Things to note about Tglix performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tglix for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Tglix help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 84.52% of its assets in stocks
Evaluating Tglix's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Tglix's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Tglix's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Tglix's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Tglix's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Tglix's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Tglix's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Tglix's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Tglix's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Tglix's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Tglix's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Tglix Mutual Fund

Tglix financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tglix Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tglix with respect to the benefits of owning Tglix security.
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