Tien Giang (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 43612.66

THG Stock   43,500  700.00  1.58%   
Tien Giang's future price is the expected price of Tien Giang instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tien Giang Investment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tien Giang Backtesting, Tien Giang Valuation, Tien Giang Correlation, Tien Giang Hype Analysis, Tien Giang Volatility, Tien Giang History as well as Tien Giang Performance.
  
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Tien Giang Target Price Odds to finish below 43612.66

The tendency of Tien Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  43,613  after 90 days
 43,500 90 days 43,613 
about 28.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tien Giang to stay under  43,613  after 90 days from now is about 28.77 (This Tien Giang Investment probability density function shows the probability of Tien Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tien Giang Investment price to stay between its current price of  43,500  and  43,613  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tien Giang Investment has a beta of -0.11. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tien Giang are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tien Giang Investment is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tien Giang Investment has an alpha of 0.063, implying that it can generate a 0.063 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tien Giang Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tien Giang

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tien Giang Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43,49943,50043,501
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37,67837,67947,850
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
43,56143,56243,563
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
43,07343,73344,393
Details

Tien Giang Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tien Giang is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tien Giang's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tien Giang Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tien Giang within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.11
σ
Overall volatility
903.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Tien Giang Technical Analysis

Tien Giang's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tien Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tien Giang Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tien Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tien Giang Predictive Forecast Models

Tien Giang's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tien Giang's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tien Giang's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Tien Giang in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Tien Giang's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Tien Giang options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Tien Stock

Tien Giang financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tien Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tien with respect to the benefits of owning Tien Giang security.