Thor Industries Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 110.76
| THO Stock | USD 112.18 1.65 1.49% |
Thor |
Thor Industries Target Price Odds to finish below 110.76
The tendency of Thor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 110.76 or more in 90 days |
| 112.18 | 90 days | 110.76 | about 85.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thor Industries to drop to $ 110.76 or more in 90 days from now is about 85.44 (This Thor Industries probability density function shows the probability of Thor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thor Industries price to stay between $ 110.76 and its current price of $112.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.88 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.53 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Thor Industries will likely underperform. Additionally Thor Industries has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Thor Industries Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Thor Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thor Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Thor Industries Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thor Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thor Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thor Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thor Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Thor Industries Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thor Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thor Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Thor Industries is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Thor Industries paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: THOR Industries Announces Date for Its Fiscal 2025 First Quarter Earnings Release |
Thor Industries Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Thor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Thor Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thor Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 501.3 M |
Thor Industries Technical Analysis
Thor Industries' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thor Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Thor Industries Predictive Forecast Models
Thor Industries' time-series forecasting models is one of many Thor Industries' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thor Industries' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Thor Industries
Checking the ongoing alerts about Thor Industries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thor Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Thor Industries is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Thor Industries paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: THOR Industries Announces Date for Its Fiscal 2025 First Quarter Earnings Release |
Check out Thor Industries Backtesting, Thor Industries Valuation, Thor Industries Correlation, Thor Industries Hype Analysis, Thor Industries Volatility, Thor Industries History as well as Thor Industries Performance. To learn how to invest in Thor Stock, please use our How to Invest in Thor Industries guide.You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Automobile Manufacturers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Thor Industries. If investors know Thor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Thor Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.001 | Dividend Share 1.92 | Earnings Share 4.94 | Revenue Per Share 188.614 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
The market value of Thor Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Thor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Thor Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Thor Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Thor Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Thor Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Thor Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Thor Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Thor Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.