Tin Nghia (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21,007
| TIP Stock | 21,800 100.00 0.46% |
Tin |
Tin Nghia Target Price Odds to finish below 21,007
The tendency of Tin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 21,800 | 90 days | 21,800 | about 5.67 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tin Nghia to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 5.67 (This Tin Nghia Industrial probability density function shows the probability of Tin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tin Nghia has a beta of 0.68. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tin Nghia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tin Nghia Industrial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tin Nghia Industrial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tin Nghia Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Tin Nghia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tin Nghia Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tin Nghia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tin Nghia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tin Nghia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tin Nghia Industrial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tin Nghia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 662.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Tin Nghia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tin Nghia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tin Nghia Industrial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tin Nghia Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Tin Nghia Technical Analysis
Tin Nghia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tin Nghia Industrial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tin Nghia Predictive Forecast Models
Tin Nghia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tin Nghia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tin Nghia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tin Nghia Industrial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tin Nghia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tin Nghia Industrial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tin Nghia Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Tin Stock
Tin Nghia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tin with respect to the benefits of owning Tin Nghia security.