Tipco Foods (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.1
| TIPCO Stock | THB 9.80 0.05 0.51% |
Tipco |
Tipco Foods Target Price Odds to finish below 0.1
The tendency of Tipco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.10 or more in 90 days |
| 9.80 | 90 days | 0.10 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tipco Foods to drop to 0.10 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Tipco Foods Public probability density function shows the probability of Tipco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tipco Foods Public price to stay between 0.10 and its current price of 9.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tipco Foods has a beta of 0.0906. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tipco Foods average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tipco Foods Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tipco Foods Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tipco Foods Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tipco Foods
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tipco Foods Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tipco Foods Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tipco Foods is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tipco Foods' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tipco Foods Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tipco Foods within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.3 |
Tipco Foods Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tipco Foods for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tipco Foods Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tipco Foods Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Tipco Foods Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Tipco Foods Public has accumulated 385.68 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.33, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Tipco Foods Public has a current ratio of 0.64, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tipco Foods until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tipco Foods' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tipco Foods Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tipco to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tipco Foods' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 56.0% of Tipco Foods outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Tipco Foods Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tipco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tipco Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tipco Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 482.6 M |
Tipco Foods Technical Analysis
Tipco Foods' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tipco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tipco Foods Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tipco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tipco Foods Predictive Forecast Models
Tipco Foods' time-series forecasting models is one of many Tipco Foods' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tipco Foods' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tipco Foods Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tipco Foods for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tipco Foods Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tipco Foods Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Tipco Foods Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Tipco Foods Public has accumulated 385.68 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.33, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Tipco Foods Public has a current ratio of 0.64, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tipco Foods until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tipco Foods' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tipco Foods Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tipco to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tipco Foods' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 56.0% of Tipco Foods outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Tipco Stock
Tipco Foods financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tipco Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tipco with respect to the benefits of owning Tipco Foods security.