Tivic Health Systems Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.29
| TIVC Stock | USD 0.26 0.01 4.00% |
Tivic |
Tivic Health Target Price Odds to finish over 0.29
The tendency of Tivic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 0.29 or more in 90 days |
| 0.26 | 90 days | 0.29 | about 50.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tivic Health to move over $ 0.29 or more in 90 days from now is about 50.0 (This Tivic Health Systems probability density function shows the probability of Tivic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tivic Health Systems price to stay between its current price of $ 0.26 and $ 0.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.73 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Tivic Health has a beta of 0.83. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tivic Health average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tivic Health Systems will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tivic Health Systems has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tivic Health Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tivic Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tivic Health Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tivic Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tivic Health Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tivic Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tivic Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tivic Health Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tivic Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Tivic Health Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tivic Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tivic Health Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tivic Health Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tivic Health Systems has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Tivic Health Systems has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Tivic Health Systems has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.24 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (129 K). | |
| Tivic Health Systems currently holds about 9.06 M in cash with (8.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.94, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Tivic Health Systems has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Tivic Health Systems, Inc. Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Tivic Health Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tivic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tivic Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tivic Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 793 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.4 M | |
| Shares Float | 6 M |
Tivic Health Technical Analysis
Tivic Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tivic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tivic Health Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tivic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tivic Health Predictive Forecast Models
Tivic Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tivic Health's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tivic Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tivic Health Systems
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tivic Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tivic Health Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tivic Health Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tivic Health Systems has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Tivic Health Systems has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Tivic Health Systems has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.24 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (129 K). | |
| Tivic Health Systems currently holds about 9.06 M in cash with (8.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.94, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Tivic Health Systems has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Tivic Health Systems, Inc. Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Check out Tivic Health Backtesting, Tivic Health Valuation, Tivic Health Correlation, Tivic Health Hype Analysis, Tivic Health Volatility, Tivic Health History as well as Tivic Health Performance. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tivic Health. If investors know Tivic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tivic Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 5.37 | Revenue Per Share 0.546 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) | Return On Assets (0.89) | Return On Equity (1.84) |
The market value of Tivic Health Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tivic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tivic Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tivic Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tivic Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tivic Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tivic Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tivic Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tivic Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.