Turkiye Garanti Bankasi Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.56

TKGZYDelisted Stock  USD 0.56  0.00  0.00%   
Turkiye Garanti's future price is the expected price of Turkiye Garanti instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
  
Please specify Turkiye Garanti's target price for which you would like Turkiye Garanti odds to be computed.

Turkiye Garanti Target Price Odds to finish over 0.56

The tendency of Turkiye Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.56 90 days 0.56 
about 38.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Turkiye Garanti to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 38.06 (This Turkiye Garanti Bankasi probability density function shows the probability of Turkiye Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Turkiye Garanti Bankasi has a beta of -0.21. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Turkiye Garanti are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Turkiye Garanti Bankasi is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Turkiye Garanti Bankasi has an alpha of 0.346, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Turkiye Garanti Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Turkiye Garanti

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Turkiye Garanti Bankasi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.560.560.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.450.450.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.570.570.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.560.560.56
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Turkiye Garanti. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Turkiye Garanti's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Turkiye Garanti's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Turkiye Garanti Bankasi.

Turkiye Garanti Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Turkiye Garanti is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Turkiye Garanti's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Turkiye Garanti Bankasi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Turkiye Garanti within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Turkiye Garanti Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Turkiye Garanti for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Turkiye Garanti Bankasi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Turkiye Garanti is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Turkiye Garanti has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Turkiye Garanti has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years

Turkiye Garanti Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Turkiye Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Turkiye Garanti's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Turkiye Garanti's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.2 B
Dividends Paid1.3 B
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.02
Shares Float589.1 M

Turkiye Garanti Technical Analysis

Turkiye Garanti's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Turkiye Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Turkiye Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Turkiye Garanti Predictive Forecast Models

Turkiye Garanti's time-series forecasting models is one of many Turkiye Garanti's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Turkiye Garanti's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Turkiye Garanti Bankasi

Checking the ongoing alerts about Turkiye Garanti for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Turkiye Garanti Bankasi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Turkiye Garanti is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Turkiye Garanti has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Turkiye Garanti has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

Other Consideration for investing in Turkiye Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Turkiye Garanti Bankasi check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Turkiye Garanti's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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