Tokyu REIT Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 1378.57
| TKURFDelisted Stock | USD 1,379 0.00 0.00% |
Tokyu |
Tokyu REIT Target Price Odds to finish below 1378.57
The tendency of Tokyu Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 1,379 | 90 days | 1,379 | about 78.04 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tokyu REIT to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 78.04 (This Tokyu REIT probability density function shows the probability of Tokyu Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 2.16 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Tokyu REIT will likely underperform. Additionally Tokyu REIT has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tokyu REIT Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tokyu REIT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tokyu REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tokyu REIT Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tokyu REIT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tokyu REIT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tokyu REIT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tokyu REIT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -2.57 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1,975 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Tokyu REIT Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tokyu REIT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tokyu REIT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tokyu REIT is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Tokyu REIT has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Tokyu REIT has accumulated 82.8 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.78, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Tokyu REIT has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tokyu REIT until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tokyu REIT's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tokyu REIT sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tokyu to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tokyu REIT's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Tokyu REIT Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tokyu Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tokyu REIT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tokyu REIT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 977.6 K |
Tokyu REIT Technical Analysis
Tokyu REIT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tokyu Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tokyu REIT. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tokyu Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tokyu REIT Predictive Forecast Models
Tokyu REIT's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tokyu REIT's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tokyu REIT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tokyu REIT
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tokyu REIT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tokyu REIT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tokyu REIT is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Tokyu REIT has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Tokyu REIT has accumulated 82.8 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.78, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Tokyu REIT has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tokyu REIT until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tokyu REIT's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tokyu REIT sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tokyu to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tokyu REIT's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Other Consideration for investing in Tokyu Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Tokyu REIT check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Tokyu REIT's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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