Talen Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 211.35
| TLN Stock | 214.20 5.69 2.59% |
Talen |
Talen Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 211.35
The tendency of Talen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 211.35 in 90 days |
| 214.20 | 90 days | 211.35 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Talen Energy to stay above 211.35 in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Talen Energy probability density function shows the probability of Talen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Talen Energy price to stay between 211.35 and its current price of 214.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.04 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.2 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Talen Energy will likely underperform. Additionally Talen Energy has an alpha of 0.6299, implying that it can generate a 0.63 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Talen Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Talen Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Talen Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Talen Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Talen Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Talen Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Talen Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Talen Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.63 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 20.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Talen Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Talen Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Talen Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Talen Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Talen Energy rallies after requesting FERC rehearing on rejected Amazon power pact |
Talen Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Talen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Talen Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Talen Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 59 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 901 M |
Talen Energy Technical Analysis
Talen Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Talen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Talen Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Talen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Talen Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Talen Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Talen Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Talen Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Talen Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Talen Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Talen Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Talen Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Talen Energy rallies after requesting FERC rehearing on rejected Amazon power pact |
Check out Talen Energy Backtesting, Talen Energy Valuation, Talen Energy Correlation, Talen Energy Hype Analysis, Talen Energy Volatility, Talen Energy History as well as Talen Energy Performance. To learn how to invest in Talen Stock, please use our How to Invest in Talen Energy guide.You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Talen Energy. If investors know Talen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Talen Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 14.51 | Revenue Per Share 35.938 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) | Return On Assets 0.0145 | Return On Equity 0.3533 |
The market value of Talen Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Talen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Talen Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Talen Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Talen Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Talen Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Talen Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Talen Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Talen Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.