Talen Energy Stock Price Prediction
| TLN Stock | 359.51 9.10 2.60% |
Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Talen Energy based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Talen Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Talen Energy from the perspective of Talen Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Talen Energy using Talen Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Talen using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Talen Energy's stock price.
Talen Energy Implied Volatility | 0.53 |
Talen Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Talen Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Talen Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Talen Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Talen Energy's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Talen Energy. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Talen Energy to buy its otc stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Talen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell otc stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Talen Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 359.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Talen contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Talen Energy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0331% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Talen Energy trading at USD 359.51, that is roughly USD 0.12 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Talen Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Talen Energy options at the current volatility level of 0.53%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Talen |
Talen Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Talen Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Talen Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Talen Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Talen Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Talen Energy's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Talen Energy's historical news coverage. Talen Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 355.90 and 363.32, respectively. We have considered Talen Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Talen Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Talen Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Talen Energy OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Talen Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Talen Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Talen Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 3.71 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 23 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 23 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
359.51 | 359.61 | 0.03 |
|
Talen Energy Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Talen Energy is traded for 359.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Talen is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 359.61 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Talen Energy is about 797.85%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 359.56. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.44 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 613 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 23 days. Check out Talen Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Talen Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Talen Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Talen Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Talen Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Talen Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NI | NiSource | 0.11 | 11 per month | 0.99 | (0.05) | 1.44 | (1.62) | 4.36 | |
| EVRG | Evergy | 0.88 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.19 | (1.31) | 4.29 | |
| KEP | Korea Electric Power | 0.1 | 9 per month | 2.29 | 0.17 | 6.12 | (4.09) | 18.59 | |
| LNT | Alliant Energy Corp | 0.36 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.19 | (1.38) | 4.27 | |
| EBR | Centrais Electricas Brasileiras | 0.91 | 6 per month | 4.49 | 0.09 | 2.80 | (3.23) | 32.39 | |
| EIX | Edison International | 0.91 | 10 per month | 1.41 | 0.06 | 1.97 | (1.80) | 6.38 | |
| AQNB | Algonquin Power Utilities | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.40 | (0.32) | 1.36 | |
| CMS | CMS Energy | 0.51 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.27 | (1.56) | 5.00 | |
| EBR-B | Centrais Eltricas Brasileiras | 0.1 | 8 per month | 4.47 | 0.09 | 5.25 | (3.48) | 31.49 | |
| SMR | Nuscale Power Corp | 0.75 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 8.81 | (11.50) | 27.03 |
Talen Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Talen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Talen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Talen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Talen Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Talen Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Talen Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Talen Energy based on analysis of Talen Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Talen Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Talen Energy's related companies.
Pair Trading with Talen Energy
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Talen Energy position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Talen Energy will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Talen OTC Stock
| 0.44 | BMYMP | Bristol Myers Squibb Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.4 | WMT | Walmart Common Stock | PairCorr |
| 0.38 | GOOG | Alphabet Class C Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Talen Energy could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Talen Energy when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Talen Energy - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Talen Energy to buy it.
The correlation of Talen Energy is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Talen Energy moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Talen Energy moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Talen Energy can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in Talen OTC Stock
Talen Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Talen OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Talen with respect to the benefits of owning Talen Energy security.