Telos Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.73
| TLS Stock | USD 3.22 0.03 0.92% |
Telos |
Telos Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 3.73
The tendency of Telos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 3.73 after 90 days |
| 3.22 | 90 days | 3.73 | about 70.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Telos Corp to stay under $ 3.73 after 90 days from now is about 70.69 (This Telos Corp probability density function shows the probability of Telos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Telos Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 3.22 and $ 3.73 at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.18 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.52 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Telos Corp will likely underperform. Additionally Telos Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Telos Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Telos Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Telos Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Telos Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Telos Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Telos Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Telos Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Telos Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Telos Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Telos Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Telos Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Telos Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Telos Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 145.38 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (34.42 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 79.04 M. | |
| Telos Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from fool.com.au: Still under 4 despite strong recent results, is Telstra stock too big a bargain to pass up |
Telos Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Telos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Telos Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Telos Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 69.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 99.3 M |
Telos Corp Technical Analysis
Telos Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Telos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Telos Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Telos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Telos Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Telos Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Telos Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Telos Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Telos Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Telos Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Telos Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Telos Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Telos Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 145.38 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (34.42 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 79.04 M. | |
| Telos Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from fool.com.au: Still under 4 despite strong recent results, is Telstra stock too big a bargain to pass up |
Additional Tools for Telos Stock Analysis
When running Telos Corp's price analysis, check to measure Telos Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Telos Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Telos Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Telos Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Telos Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Telos Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.