TMC Industrial (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.15

TMC Stock  THB 1.15  0.02  1.77%   
TMC Industrial's future price is the expected price of TMC Industrial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TMC Industrial Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out TMC Industrial Backtesting, TMC Industrial Valuation, TMC Industrial Correlation, TMC Industrial Hype Analysis, TMC Industrial Volatility, TMC Industrial History as well as TMC Industrial Performance.
  
Please specify TMC Industrial's target price for which you would like TMC Industrial odds to be computed.

TMC Industrial Target Price Odds to finish over 1.15

The tendency of TMC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.15 90 days 1.15 
about 72.02
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TMC Industrial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 72.02 (This TMC Industrial Public probability density function shows the probability of TMC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TMC Industrial has a beta of 0.0244. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, TMC Industrial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TMC Industrial Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TMC Industrial Public has an alpha of 0.124, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   TMC Industrial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TMC Industrial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TMC Industrial Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.155.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.015.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.065.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.121.161.20
Details

TMC Industrial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TMC Industrial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TMC Industrial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TMC Industrial Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TMC Industrial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio 0

TMC Industrial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TMC Industrial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TMC Industrial Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TMC Industrial may become a speculative penny stock
TMC Industrial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
TMC Industrial Public has accumulated 214.86 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 44.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. TMC Industrial Public has a current ratio of 0.53, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist TMC Industrial until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, TMC Industrial's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like TMC Industrial Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for TMC to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about TMC Industrial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 292.41 M. Net Loss for the year was (41.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 30.09 M.
TMC Industrial Public has accumulated about 5.25 M in cash with (31.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 43.0% of TMC Industrial outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

TMC Industrial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TMC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TMC Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TMC Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding458.8 M

TMC Industrial Technical Analysis

TMC Industrial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TMC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TMC Industrial Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing TMC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TMC Industrial Predictive Forecast Models

TMC Industrial's time-series forecasting models is one of many TMC Industrial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TMC Industrial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TMC Industrial Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about TMC Industrial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TMC Industrial Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TMC Industrial may become a speculative penny stock
TMC Industrial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
TMC Industrial Public has accumulated 214.86 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 44.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. TMC Industrial Public has a current ratio of 0.53, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist TMC Industrial until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, TMC Industrial's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like TMC Industrial Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for TMC to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about TMC Industrial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 292.41 M. Net Loss for the year was (41.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 30.09 M.
TMC Industrial Public has accumulated about 5.25 M in cash with (31.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 43.0% of TMC Industrial outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in TMC Stock

TMC Industrial financial ratios help investors to determine whether TMC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TMC with respect to the benefits of owning TMC Industrial security.