Tenon Medical Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.52
| TNON Stock | USD 2.54 0.09 3.42% |
Tenon |
Tenon Medical Target Price Odds to finish below 2.52
The tendency of Tenon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 2.52 or more in 90 days |
| 2.54 | 90 days | 2.52 | about 6.72 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tenon Medical to drop to $ 2.52 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.72 (This Tenon Medical probability density function shows the probability of Tenon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tenon Medical price to stay between $ 2.52 and its current price of $2.54 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Tenon Medical has a beta of 0.59. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tenon Medical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tenon Medical will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tenon Medical has an alpha of 0.1383, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Tenon Medical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tenon Medical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tenon Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tenon Medical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tenon Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tenon Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tenon Medical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tenon Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Tenon Medical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tenon Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tenon Medical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tenon Medical had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Tenon Medical has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (15.58 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (641 K). | |
| Tenon Medical currently holds about 16.02 M in cash with (12.18 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.42. | |
| Tenon Medical has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Tenon Medical, Inc. Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Tenon Medical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tenon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tenon Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tenon Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 226.8 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.4 M |
Tenon Medical Technical Analysis
Tenon Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tenon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tenon Medical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tenon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tenon Medical Predictive Forecast Models
Tenon Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tenon Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tenon Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tenon Medical
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tenon Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tenon Medical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tenon Medical had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Tenon Medical has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (15.58 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (641 K). | |
| Tenon Medical currently holds about 16.02 M in cash with (12.18 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.42. | |
| Tenon Medical has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Tenon Medical, Inc. Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Check out Tenon Medical Backtesting, Tenon Medical Valuation, Tenon Medical Correlation, Tenon Medical Hype Analysis, Tenon Medical Volatility, Tenon Medical History as well as Tenon Medical Performance. To learn how to invest in Tenon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Tenon Medical guide.You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tenon Medical. If investors know Tenon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tenon Medical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 287.92 | Revenue Per Share 9.442 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.213 | Return On Assets (1.10) | Return On Equity (15.99) |
The market value of Tenon Medical is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tenon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tenon Medical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tenon Medical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tenon Medical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tenon Medical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tenon Medical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tenon Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tenon Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.