Thai OPP (Thailand) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 168.5

TOPP Stock  THB 169.00  0.00  0.00%   
Thai OPP's future price is the expected price of Thai OPP instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Thai OPP Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Thai OPP Backtesting, Thai OPP Valuation, Thai OPP Correlation, Thai OPP Hype Analysis, Thai OPP Volatility, Thai OPP History as well as Thai OPP Performance.
  
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Thai OPP Target Price Odds to finish below 168.5

The tendency of Thai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  168.50  or more in 90 days
 169.00 90 days 168.50 
about 54.35
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thai OPP to drop to  168.50  or more in 90 days from now is about 54.35 (This Thai OPP Public probability density function shows the probability of Thai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thai OPP Public price to stay between  168.50  and its current price of 169.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Thai OPP has a beta of 0.0479. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Thai OPP average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Thai OPP Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Thai OPP Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Thai OPP Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Thai OPP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thai OPP Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.45169.0017,069
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.38127.5017,028
Details

Thai OPP Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thai OPP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thai OPP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thai OPP Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thai OPP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0092
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
20.91
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Thai OPP Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thai OPP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thai OPP Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thai OPP Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Thai OPP Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Thai OPP Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Thai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Thai OPP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thai OPP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM

Thai OPP Technical Analysis

Thai OPP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thai OPP Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Thai OPP Predictive Forecast Models

Thai OPP's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thai OPP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thai OPP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Thai OPP Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Thai OPP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thai OPP Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thai OPP Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Thai OPP Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Thai Stock

Thai OPP financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thai with respect to the benefits of owning Thai OPP security.