Toysrus Anz Limited Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0462
| TOYRF Stock | USD 0.03 0 4.72% |
Toys"R"Us |
Toys"R"Us ANZ Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0462
The tendency of Toys"R"Us Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.05 after 90 days |
| 0.03 | 90 days | 0.05 | about 41.42 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Toys"R"Us ANZ to stay under $ 0.05 after 90 days from now is about 41.42 (This ToysRUs ANZ Limited probability density function shows the probability of Toys"R"Us Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ToysRUs ANZ Limited price to stay between its current price of $ 0.03 and $ 0.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.69 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.43 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Toys"R"Us ANZ will likely underperform. Additionally ToysRUs ANZ Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Toys"R"Us ANZ Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Toys"R"Us ANZ
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ToysRUs ANZ Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Toys"R"Us ANZ Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Toys"R"Us ANZ is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Toys"R"Us ANZ's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ToysRUs ANZ Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Toys"R"Us ANZ within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.6 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Toys"R"Us ANZ Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Toys"R"Us ANZ for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ToysRUs ANZ Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ToysRUs ANZ Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ToysRUs ANZ Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| ToysRUs ANZ Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| ToysRUs ANZ Limited has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 37.82 M. Net Loss for the year was (24.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.96 M. | |
| ToysRUs ANZ Limited has accumulated about 12.54 M in cash with (10.9 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Roughly 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Toys"R"Us ANZ Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Toys"R"Us Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Toys"R"Us ANZ's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Toys"R"Us ANZ's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 861.9 M |
Toys"R"Us ANZ Technical Analysis
Toys"R"Us ANZ's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Toys"R"Us Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ToysRUs ANZ Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Toys"R"Us Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Toys"R"Us ANZ Predictive Forecast Models
Toys"R"Us ANZ's time-series forecasting models is one of many Toys"R"Us ANZ's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Toys"R"Us ANZ's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ToysRUs ANZ Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about Toys"R"Us ANZ for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ToysRUs ANZ Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ToysRUs ANZ Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ToysRUs ANZ Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| ToysRUs ANZ Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| ToysRUs ANZ Limited has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 37.82 M. Net Loss for the year was (24.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.96 M. | |
| ToysRUs ANZ Limited has accumulated about 12.54 M in cash with (10.9 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Roughly 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Toys"R"Us Pink Sheet
Toys"R"Us ANZ financial ratios help investors to determine whether Toys"R"Us Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Toys"R"Us with respect to the benefits of owning Toys"R"Us ANZ security.