Tier1 Technology (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.64

TR1 Stock  EUR 2.96  0.02  0.68%   
Tier1 Technology's future price is the expected price of Tier1 Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tier1 Technology SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tier1 Technology Backtesting, Tier1 Technology Valuation, Tier1 Technology Correlation, Tier1 Technology Hype Analysis, Tier1 Technology Volatility, Tier1 Technology History as well as Tier1 Technology Performance.
  
Please specify Tier1 Technology's target price for which you would like Tier1 Technology odds to be computed.

Tier1 Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 2.64

The tendency of Tier1 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 2.64  or more in 90 days
 2.96 90 days 2.64 
about 32.22
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tier1 Technology to drop to € 2.64  or more in 90 days from now is about 32.22 (This Tier1 Technology SA probability density function shows the probability of Tier1 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tier1 Technology price to stay between € 2.64  and its current price of €2.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.82 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tier1 Technology has a beta of 0.17. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tier1 Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tier1 Technology SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tier1 Technology SA has an alpha of 0.1382, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tier1 Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tier1 Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tier1 Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.502.965.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.402.865.32
Details

Tier1 Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tier1 Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tier1 Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tier1 Technology SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tier1 Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Tier1 Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tier1 Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tier1 Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Tier1 Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tier1 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tier1 Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tier1 Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.8 M

Tier1 Technology Technical Analysis

Tier1 Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tier1 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tier1 Technology SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tier1 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tier1 Technology Predictive Forecast Models

Tier1 Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tier1 Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tier1 Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tier1 Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tier1 Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tier1 Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Tier1 Stock

Tier1 Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tier1 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tier1 with respect to the benefits of owning Tier1 Technology security.