AB Traction (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 286.00

TRAC-B Stock  SEK 286.00  1.00  0.35%   
AB Traction's future price is the expected price of AB Traction instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AB Traction performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out AB Traction Backtesting, AB Traction Valuation, AB Traction Correlation, AB Traction Hype Analysis, AB Traction Volatility, AB Traction History as well as AB Traction Performance.
  
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AB Traction Target Price Odds to finish over 286.00

The tendency of TRAC-B Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 286.00 90 days 286.00 
about 34.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AB Traction to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 34.47 (This AB Traction probability density function shows the probability of TRAC-B Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AB Traction has a beta of 0.51. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, AB Traction average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AB Traction will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AB Traction has an alpha of 0.021, implying that it can generate a 0.021 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   AB Traction Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AB Traction

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AB Traction. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
283.52285.00286.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
282.02283.50313.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
285.30286.78288.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
274.99283.92292.84
Details

AB Traction Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AB Traction is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AB Traction's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AB Traction, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AB Traction within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.51
σ
Overall volatility
11.71
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

AB Traction Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AB Traction for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AB Traction can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 83.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

AB Traction Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TRAC-B Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AB Traction's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AB Traction's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.8 M
Dividends Paid-29.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments466.9 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate4.85
Shares Float13 M

AB Traction Technical Analysis

AB Traction's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TRAC-B Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AB Traction. In general, you should focus on analyzing TRAC-B Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AB Traction Predictive Forecast Models

AB Traction's time-series forecasting models is one of many AB Traction's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AB Traction's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AB Traction

Checking the ongoing alerts about AB Traction for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AB Traction help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 83.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in TRAC-B Stock

AB Traction financial ratios help investors to determine whether TRAC-B Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TRAC-B with respect to the benefits of owning AB Traction security.