Tejon Ranch Co Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.84
| TRC Stock | USD 16.58 0.76 4.80% |
Tejon |
Tejon Ranch Target Price Odds to finish below 15.84
The tendency of Tejon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 15.84 or more in 90 days |
| 16.58 | 90 days | 15.84 | about 8.17 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tejon Ranch to drop to $ 15.84 or more in 90 days from now is about 8.17 (This Tejon Ranch Co probability density function shows the probability of Tejon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tejon Ranch price to stay between $ 15.84 and its current price of $16.58 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.92 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.69 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Tejon Ranch will likely underperform. Additionally Tejon Ranch Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tejon Ranch Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tejon Ranch
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tejon Ranch. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tejon Ranch Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tejon Ranch is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tejon Ranch's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tejon Ranch Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tejon Ranch within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Tejon Ranch Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tejon Ranch for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tejon Ranch can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tejon Ranch generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Disposition of 3000 shares by Geoffrey Stack of Tejon Ranch at 15.79 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Tejon Ranch Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tejon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tejon Ranch's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tejon Ranch's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 64.5 M |
Tejon Ranch Technical Analysis
Tejon Ranch's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tejon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tejon Ranch Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tejon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tejon Ranch Predictive Forecast Models
Tejon Ranch's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tejon Ranch's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tejon Ranch's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tejon Ranch
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tejon Ranch for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tejon Ranch help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tejon Ranch generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Disposition of 3000 shares by Geoffrey Stack of Tejon Ranch at 15.79 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Tejon Ranch Backtesting, Tejon Ranch Valuation, Tejon Ranch Correlation, Tejon Ranch Hype Analysis, Tejon Ranch Volatility, Tejon Ranch History as well as Tejon Ranch Performance. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is Multi-Family Residential REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tejon Ranch. If investors know Tejon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tejon Ranch listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.573 | Earnings Share (0.01) | Revenue Per Share 1.498 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.063 | Return On Assets (0.02) |
The market value of Tejon Ranch is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tejon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tejon Ranch's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tejon Ranch's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tejon Ranch's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tejon Ranch's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tejon Ranch's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tejon Ranch is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tejon Ranch's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.