Tres Tentos (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.14

TTEN3 Stock   13.17  0.93  6.60%   
Tres Tentos' future price is the expected price of Tres Tentos instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tres Tentos Agroindustrial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tres Tentos Backtesting, Tres Tentos Valuation, Tres Tentos Correlation, Tres Tentos Hype Analysis, Tres Tentos Volatility, Tres Tentos History as well as Tres Tentos Performance.
  
Please specify Tres Tentos' target price for which you would like Tres Tentos odds to be computed.

Tres Tentos Target Price Odds to finish below 10.14

The tendency of Tres Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  10.14  or more in 90 days
 13.17 90 days 10.14 
about 6.58
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tres Tentos to drop to  10.14  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.58 (This Tres Tentos Agroindustrial probability density function shows the probability of Tres Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tres Tentos Agroindu price to stay between  10.14  and its current price of 13.17 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tres Tentos has a beta of 0.0947. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tres Tentos average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tres Tentos Agroindustrial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tres Tentos Agroindustrial has an alpha of 0.1175, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tres Tentos Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tres Tentos

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tres Tentos Agroindu. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.2813.1716.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.8610.7513.64
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tres Tentos. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tres Tentos' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tres Tentos' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tres Tentos Agroindu.

Tres Tentos Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tres Tentos is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tres Tentos' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tres Tentos Agroindustrial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tres Tentos within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
1.19
Ir
Information ratio 0

Tres Tentos Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tres Tentos for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tres Tentos Agroindu can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 77.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Tres Tentos Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tres Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tres Tentos' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tres Tentos' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding497 M

Tres Tentos Technical Analysis

Tres Tentos' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tres Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tres Tentos Agroindustrial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tres Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tres Tentos Predictive Forecast Models

Tres Tentos' time-series forecasting models is one of many Tres Tentos' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tres Tentos' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tres Tentos Agroindu

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tres Tentos for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tres Tentos Agroindu help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 77.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Tres Stock Analysis

When running Tres Tentos' price analysis, check to measure Tres Tentos' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tres Tentos is operating at the current time. Most of Tres Tentos' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tres Tentos' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tres Tentos' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tres Tentos to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.