Stf Tactical Growth Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 30.48
| TUG Etf | USD 35.45 0.20 0.57% |
STF |
STF Tactical Target Price Odds to finish below 30.48
The tendency of STF Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 30.48 or more in 90 days |
| 35.45 | 90 days | 30.48 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of STF Tactical to drop to $ 30.48 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This STF Tactical Growth probability density function shows the probability of STF Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of STF Tactical Growth price to stay between $ 30.48 and its current price of $35.45 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.55 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon STF Tactical has a beta of 0.96. This usually implies STF Tactical Growth market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, STF Tactical is expected to follow. Additionally STF Tactical Growth has an alpha of 0.0178, implying that it can generate a 0.0178 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). STF Tactical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for STF Tactical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as STF Tactical Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of STF Tactical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
STF Tactical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. STF Tactical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the STF Tactical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold STF Tactical Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of STF Tactical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.96 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
STF Tactical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of STF Tactical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for STF Tactical Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: STF Tactical Growth ETF Short Interest Up 300.0 percent in November | |
| The fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments. |
STF Tactical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of STF Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential STF Tactical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. STF Tactical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
STF Tactical Technical Analysis
STF Tactical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. STF Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of STF Tactical Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing STF Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
STF Tactical Predictive Forecast Models
STF Tactical's time-series forecasting models is one of many STF Tactical's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary STF Tactical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about STF Tactical Growth
Checking the ongoing alerts about STF Tactical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for STF Tactical Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: STF Tactical Growth ETF Short Interest Up 300.0 percent in November | |
| The fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments. |
Check out STF Tactical Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, STF Tactical Correlation, STF Tactical Hype Analysis, STF Tactical Volatility, STF Tactical History as well as STF Tactical Performance. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
The market value of STF Tactical Growth is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of STF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of STF Tactical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is STF Tactical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because STF Tactical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect STF Tactical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between STF Tactical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if STF Tactical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, STF Tactical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.