Two Harbors Investment Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 24.16

TWO-PA Preferred Stock  USD 24.30  0.11  0.45%   
Two Harbors' future price is the expected price of Two Harbors instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Two Harbors Investment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Two Harbors Backtesting, Two Harbors Valuation, Two Harbors Correlation, Two Harbors Hype Analysis, Two Harbors Volatility, Two Harbors History as well as Two Harbors Performance.
  
Please specify Two Harbors' target price for which you would like Two Harbors odds to be computed.

Two Harbors Target Price Odds to finish below 24.16

The tendency of Two Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 24.16  or more in 90 days
 24.30 90 days 24.16 
about 16.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Two Harbors to drop to $ 24.16  or more in 90 days from now is about 16.13 (This Two Harbors Investment probability density function shows the probability of Two Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Two Harbors Investment price to stay between $ 24.16  and its current price of $24.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.66 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Two Harbors Investment has a beta of -0.0455. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Two Harbors are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Two Harbors Investment is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Two Harbors Investment has an alpha of 0.0302, implying that it can generate a 0.0302 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Two Harbors Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Two Harbors

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Two Harbors Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.7824.3024.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.8624.3824.90
Details

Two Harbors Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Two Harbors is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Two Harbors' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Two Harbors Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Two Harbors within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.33
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Two Harbors Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Two Harbors for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Two Harbors Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Two Harbors has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Two Harbors Investment has accumulated 680.51 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 445.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Two Harbors Investment has a current ratio of 0.06, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Two Harbors until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Two Harbors' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Two Harbors Investment sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Two to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Two Harbors' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Two Harbors Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Two Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Two Harbors' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Two Harbors' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2129.00
Cash And Short Term Investments8.5 B

Two Harbors Technical Analysis

Two Harbors' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Two Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Two Harbors Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Two Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Two Harbors Predictive Forecast Models

Two Harbors' time-series forecasting models is one of many Two Harbors' preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Two Harbors' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Two Harbors Investment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Two Harbors for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Two Harbors Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Two Harbors has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Two Harbors Investment has accumulated 680.51 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 445.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Two Harbors Investment has a current ratio of 0.06, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Two Harbors until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Two Harbors' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Two Harbors Investment sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Two to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Two Harbors' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in Two Preferred Stock

Two Harbors financial ratios help investors to determine whether Two Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Two with respect to the benefits of owning Two Harbors security.