United Community Banks Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 24.34

UCBIODelisted Preferred Stock  USD 24.34  0.01  0.04%   
United Community's future price is the expected price of United Community instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of United Community Banks performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
  
Please specify United Community's target price for which you would like United Community odds to be computed.

United Community Target Price Odds to finish over 24.34

The tendency of United Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 24.34 90 days 24.34 
about 28.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of United Community to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 28.5 (This United Community Banks probability density function shows the probability of United Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon United Community Banks has a beta of -0.0403. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding United Community are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, United Community Banks is likely to outperform the market. Additionally United Community Banks has an alpha of 0.0613, implying that it can generate a 0.0613 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   United Community Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for United Community

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Community Banks. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.6624.3425.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.9220.6026.77
Details

United Community Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. United Community is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the United Community's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold United Community Banks, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of United Community within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

United Community Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of United Community for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for United Community Banks can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
United Community is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
United Community generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
United Community has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years

United Community Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of United Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential United Community's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Community's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding106.2 M

United Community Technical Analysis

United Community's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. United Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of United Community Banks. In general, you should focus on analyzing United Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

United Community Predictive Forecast Models

United Community's time-series forecasting models is one of many United Community's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary United Community's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about United Community Banks

Checking the ongoing alerts about United Community for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for United Community Banks help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
United Community is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
United Community generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
United Community has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

Other Consideration for investing in United Preferred Stock

If you are still planning to invest in United Community Banks check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the United Community's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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