United Communications Partners Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 2.53

UCPA Stock  USD 13.46  0.03  0.22%   
United Communications' future price is the expected price of United Communications instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of United Communications Partners performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out United Communications Backtesting, United Communications Valuation, United Communications Correlation, United Communications Hype Analysis, United Communications Volatility, United Communications History as well as United Communications Performance.
  
Please specify United Communications' target price for which you would like United Communications odds to be computed.

United Communications Target Price Odds to finish over 2.53

The tendency of United Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 2.53  in 90 days
 13.46 90 days 2.53 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of United Communications to stay above $ 2.53  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This United Communications Partners probability density function shows the probability of United Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of United Communications price to stay between $ 2.53  and its current price of $13.46 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days United Communications has a beta of 0.3. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, United Communications average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding United Communications Partners will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally United Communications Partners has an alpha of 0.1611, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   United Communications Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for United Communications

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.6213.4614.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.1115.3516.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.5913.4314.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.1113.2913.47
Details

United Communications Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. United Communications is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the United Communications' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold United Communications Partners, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of United Communications within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.30
σ
Overall volatility
0.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

United Communications Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of United Communications for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for United Communications can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
United Communications Partners currently holds 260 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.54, which is about average as compared to similar companies. United Communications has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist United Communications until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, United Communications' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like United Communications sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for United to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about United Communications' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

United Communications Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of United Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential United Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Short Long Term Debt893 K

United Communications Technical Analysis

United Communications' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. United Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of United Communications Partners. In general, you should focus on analyzing United Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

United Communications Predictive Forecast Models

United Communications' time-series forecasting models is one of many United Communications' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary United Communications' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about United Communications

Checking the ongoing alerts about United Communications for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for United Communications help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
United Communications Partners currently holds 260 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.54, which is about average as compared to similar companies. United Communications has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist United Communications until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, United Communications' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like United Communications sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for United to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about United Communications' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in United Pink Sheet

United Communications financial ratios help investors to determine whether United Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in United with respect to the benefits of owning United Communications security.