Union Electric Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 110.00
| UEPCO Stock | USD 110.00 11.75 11.96% |
Union |
Union Electric Target Price Odds to finish over 110.00
The tendency of Union Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 110.00 | 90 days | 110.00 | roughly 2.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Union Electric to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.13 (This Union Electric probability density function shows the probability of Union Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Union Electric has a beta of -0.67. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Union Electric are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Union Electric is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Union Electric has an alpha of 0.3413, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Union Electric Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Union Electric
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Union Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Union Electric's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Union Electric Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Union Electric is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Union Electric's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Union Electric, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Union Electric within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.76 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Union Electric Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Union Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Union Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Union Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 102.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8 M |
Union Electric Technical Analysis
Union Electric's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Union Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Union Electric. In general, you should focus on analyzing Union Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Union Electric Predictive Forecast Models
Union Electric's time-series forecasting models is one of many Union Electric's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Union Electric's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Union Electric in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Union Electric's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Union Electric options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Union Pink Sheet
Union Electric financial ratios help investors to determine whether Union Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Union with respect to the benefits of owning Union Electric security.