Unilever Plc Adr Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 54.78
UL Stock | USD 58.61 0.98 1.70% |
Unilever |
Unilever PLC Target Price Odds to finish below 54.78
The tendency of Unilever Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 54.78 or more in 90 days |
58.61 | 90 days | 54.78 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Unilever PLC to drop to $ 54.78 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Unilever PLC ADR probability density function shows the probability of Unilever Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Unilever PLC ADR price to stay between $ 54.78 and its current price of $58.61 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.14 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Unilever PLC ADR has a beta of -0.0154. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Unilever PLC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Unilever PLC ADR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Unilever PLC ADR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Unilever PLC Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Unilever PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Unilever PLC ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Unilever PLC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Unilever PLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Unilever PLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Unilever PLC ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Unilever PLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Unilever PLC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Unilever PLC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Unilever PLC ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Unilever PLC ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Unilever PLC ADR reports 28.59 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.49, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Unilever PLC ADR has a current ratio of 0.78, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Unilever to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
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Unilever PLC Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Unilever Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Unilever PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Unilever PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 B | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.1 B |
Unilever PLC Technical Analysis
Unilever PLC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Unilever Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Unilever PLC ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Unilever Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Unilever PLC Predictive Forecast Models
Unilever PLC's time-series forecasting models is one of many Unilever PLC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Unilever PLC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Unilever PLC ADR
Checking the ongoing alerts about Unilever PLC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Unilever PLC ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Unilever PLC ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Unilever PLC ADR reports 28.59 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.49, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Unilever PLC ADR has a current ratio of 0.78, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Unilever to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
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Check out Unilever PLC Backtesting, Unilever PLC Valuation, Unilever PLC Correlation, Unilever PLC Hype Analysis, Unilever PLC Volatility, Unilever PLC History as well as Unilever PLC Performance. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Personal Care Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Unilever PLC. If investors know Unilever will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Unilever PLC listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.05 | Dividend Share 1.709 | Earnings Share 2.75 | Revenue Per Share 24.08 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.023 |
The market value of Unilever PLC ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Unilever that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Unilever PLC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Unilever PLC's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Unilever PLC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Unilever PLC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Unilever PLC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Unilever PLC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Unilever PLC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.