Ultimate Games (Poland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.82
| ULG Stock | 8.84 0.04 0.45% |
Ultimate |
Ultimate Games Target Price Odds to finish below 8.82
The tendency of Ultimate Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 8.82 or more in 90 days |
| 8.84 | 90 days | 8.82 | about 15.47 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ultimate Games to drop to 8.82 or more in 90 days from now is about 15.47 (This Ultimate Games SA probability density function shows the probability of Ultimate Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ultimate Games SA price to stay between 8.82 and its current price of 8.84 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ultimate Games SA has a beta of -0.0042. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ultimate Games are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ultimate Games SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ultimate Games SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ultimate Games Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ultimate Games
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ultimate Games SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ultimate Games' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ultimate Games Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ultimate Games is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ultimate Games' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ultimate Games SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ultimate Games within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0042 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
Ultimate Games Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ultimate Games for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ultimate Games SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ultimate Games SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Ultimate Games Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ultimate Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ultimate Games' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ultimate Games' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.2 M |
Ultimate Games Technical Analysis
Ultimate Games' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ultimate Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ultimate Games SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ultimate Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ultimate Games Predictive Forecast Models
Ultimate Games' time-series forecasting models is one of many Ultimate Games' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ultimate Games' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ultimate Games SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ultimate Games for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ultimate Games SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ultimate Games SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Additional Tools for Ultimate Stock Analysis
When running Ultimate Games' price analysis, check to measure Ultimate Games' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ultimate Games is operating at the current time. Most of Ultimate Games' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ultimate Games' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ultimate Games' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ultimate Games to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.