Universal Media Group Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.03
| UMGP Stock | USD 0.04 0 2.63% |
Universal |
Universal Media Target Price Odds to finish over 0.03
The tendency of Universal Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 0.03 in 90 days |
| 0.04 | 90 days | 0.03 | about 88.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Universal Media to stay above $ 0.03 in 90 days from now is about 88.31 (This Universal Media Group probability density function shows the probability of Universal Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Universal Media Group price to stay between $ 0.03 and its current price of $0.039 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.13 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 3.09 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Universal Media will likely underperform. Additionally Universal Media Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Universal Media Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Universal Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Universal Media Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Universal Media Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Universal Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Universal Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Universal Media Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Universal Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Universal Media Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Universal Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Universal Media Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Universal Media is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Universal Media has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Universal Media appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Net Loss for the year was (820) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 29.61 K. | |
| Universal Media Group currently holds about 4.03 M in cash with (820) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Universal Media Technical Analysis
Universal Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Universal Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Universal Media Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Universal Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Universal Media Predictive Forecast Models
Universal Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many Universal Media's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Universal Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Universal Media Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Universal Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Universal Media Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Universal Media is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Universal Media has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Universal Media appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Net Loss for the year was (820) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 29.61 K. | |
| Universal Media Group currently holds about 4.03 M in cash with (820) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Additional Tools for Universal Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Universal Media's price analysis, check to measure Universal Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Universal Media is operating at the current time. Most of Universal Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Universal Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Universal Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Universal Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.