UnitedHealth Group (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12093.71
| UNH Stock | MXN 10,749 620.67 5.46% |
UnitedHealth |
UnitedHealth Group Target Price Odds to finish below 12093.71
The tendency of UnitedHealth Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 12,094 after 90 days |
| 10,749 | 90 days | 12,094 | about 82.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of UnitedHealth Group to stay under 12,094 after 90 days from now is about 82.28 (This UnitedHealth Group Incorporated probability density function shows the probability of UnitedHealth Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of UnitedHealth Group price to stay between its current price of 10,749 and 12,094 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.66 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.41 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, UnitedHealth Group will likely underperform. Additionally UnitedHealth Group Incorporated has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. UnitedHealth Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for UnitedHealth Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UnitedHealth Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.UnitedHealth Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. UnitedHealth Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the UnitedHealth Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold UnitedHealth Group Incorporated, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of UnitedHealth Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 472.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
UnitedHealth Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of UnitedHealth Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for UnitedHealth Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| UnitedHealth Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| UnitedHealth Group Incorporated has accumulated 54.51 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.66, which is about average as compared to similar companies. UnitedHealth Group has a current ratio of 0.7, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist UnitedHealth Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, UnitedHealth Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like UnitedHealth Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for UnitedHealth to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about UnitedHealth Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 89.0% of UnitedHealth Group outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
UnitedHealth Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of UnitedHealth Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential UnitedHealth Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. UnitedHealth Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 934.3 M |
UnitedHealth Group Technical Analysis
UnitedHealth Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. UnitedHealth Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of UnitedHealth Group Incorporated. In general, you should focus on analyzing UnitedHealth Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
UnitedHealth Group Predictive Forecast Models
UnitedHealth Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many UnitedHealth Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary UnitedHealth Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about UnitedHealth Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about UnitedHealth Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for UnitedHealth Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| UnitedHealth Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| UnitedHealth Group Incorporated has accumulated 54.51 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.66, which is about average as compared to similar companies. UnitedHealth Group has a current ratio of 0.7, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist UnitedHealth Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, UnitedHealth Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like UnitedHealth Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for UnitedHealth to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about UnitedHealth Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 89.0% of UnitedHealth Group outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for UnitedHealth Stock Analysis
When running UnitedHealth Group's price analysis, check to measure UnitedHealth Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy UnitedHealth Group is operating at the current time. Most of UnitedHealth Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of UnitedHealth Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move UnitedHealth Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of UnitedHealth Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.