United Rentals Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 857.05

URI Stock  USD 796.97  0.95  0.12%   
United Rentals' future price is the expected price of United Rentals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of United Rentals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out United Rentals Backtesting, United Rentals Valuation, United Rentals Correlation, United Rentals Hype Analysis, United Rentals Volatility, United Rentals History as well as United Rentals Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in United Stock please use our How to Invest in United Rentals guide.
  
As of now, United Rentals' Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is increasing as compared to previous years. The United Rentals' current Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is estimated to increase to 65.02, while Price Earnings Ratio is projected to decrease to 15.11. Please specify United Rentals' target price for which you would like United Rentals odds to be computed.

United Rentals Target Price Odds to finish over 857.05

The tendency of United Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 857.05  or more in 90 days
 796.97 90 days 857.05 
about 16.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of United Rentals to move over $ 857.05  or more in 90 days from now is about 16.47 (This United Rentals probability density function shows the probability of United Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of United Rentals price to stay between its current price of $ 796.97  and $ 857.05  at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.82 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.96 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, United Rentals will likely underperform. Additionally United Rentals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   United Rentals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for United Rentals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Rentals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
794.96796.97798.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
717.27810.61812.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
783.72785.73787.73
Details
23 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
429.29471.75523.64
Details

United Rentals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. United Rentals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the United Rentals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold United Rentals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of United Rentals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.96
σ
Overall volatility
40.61
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

United Rentals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of United Rentals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for United Rentals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 27th of November 2024 United Rentals paid $ 1.63 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: Evercore ISI maintains United Rentals stock at Outperform rating

United Rentals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of United Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential United Rentals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Rentals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding68.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments363 M

United Rentals Technical Analysis

United Rentals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. United Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of United Rentals. In general, you should focus on analyzing United Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

United Rentals Predictive Forecast Models

United Rentals' time-series forecasting models is one of many United Rentals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary United Rentals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about United Rentals

Checking the ongoing alerts about United Rentals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for United Rentals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 27th of November 2024 United Rentals paid $ 1.63 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: Evercore ISI maintains United Rentals stock at Outperform rating
When determining whether United Rentals offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of United Rentals' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of United Rentals Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on United Rentals Stock:
Is Trading Companies & Distributors space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Rentals. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about United Rentals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.04
Dividend Share
6.37
Earnings Share
38.25
Revenue Per Share
224.056
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.06
The market value of United Rentals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United Rentals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United Rentals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United Rentals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United Rentals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Rentals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United Rentals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Rentals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.