T 6625 15 MAY 29 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 106.12

00206RHY1   106.12  0.00  0.00%   
00206RHY1's future price is the expected price of 00206RHY1 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of T 6625 15 MAY 29 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 00206RHY1 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 00206RHY1 Correlation, 00206RHY1 Hype Analysis, 00206RHY1 Volatility, 00206RHY1 History as well as 00206RHY1 Performance.
  
Please specify 00206RHY1's target price for which you would like 00206RHY1 odds to be computed.

00206RHY1 Target Price Odds to finish over 106.12

The tendency of 00206RHY1 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 106.12 90 days 106.12 
about 77.24
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 00206RHY1 to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 77.24 (This T 6625 15 MAY 29 probability density function shows the probability of 00206RHY1 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 00206RHY1 has a beta of 0.3. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, 00206RHY1 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding T 6625 15 MAY 29 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally T 6625 15 MAY 29 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   00206RHY1 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 00206RHY1

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as T 6625 15. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
105.17106.12107.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
89.0590.00116.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
105.13106.08107.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
105.77107.53109.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 00206RHY1. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 00206RHY1's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 00206RHY1's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in T 6625 15.

00206RHY1 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 00206RHY1 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 00206RHY1's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold T 6625 15 MAY 29, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 00206RHY1 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.30
σ
Overall volatility
1.62
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

00206RHY1 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 00206RHY1 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for T 6625 15 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
T 6625 15 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

00206RHY1 Technical Analysis

00206RHY1's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 00206RHY1 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of T 6625 15 MAY 29. In general, you should focus on analyzing 00206RHY1 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

00206RHY1 Predictive Forecast Models

00206RHY1's time-series forecasting models is one of many 00206RHY1's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 00206RHY1's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about T 6625 15

Checking the ongoing alerts about 00206RHY1 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for T 6625 15 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
T 6625 15 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 00206RHY1 Bond

00206RHY1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 00206RHY1 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 00206RHY1 with respect to the benefits of owning 00206RHY1 security.