AMH 43 15 APR 52 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 81.96
| 02666TAF4 | 77.97 4.57 5.54% |
02666TAF4 |
02666TAF4 Target Price Odds to finish below 81.96
The tendency of 02666TAF4 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 81.96 after 90 days |
| 77.97 | 90 days | 81.96 | about 77.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 02666TAF4 to stay under 81.96 after 90 days from now is about 77.6 (This AMH 43 15 APR 52 probability density function shows the probability of 02666TAF4 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AMH 43 15 price to stay between its current price of 77.97 and 81.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.14 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 02666TAF4 has a beta of 0.25. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, 02666TAF4 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AMH 43 15 APR 52 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AMH 43 15 APR 52 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. 02666TAF4 Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for 02666TAF4
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AMH 43 15. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.02666TAF4 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 02666TAF4 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 02666TAF4's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AMH 43 15 APR 52, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 02666TAF4 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
02666TAF4 Technical Analysis
02666TAF4's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 02666TAF4 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AMH 43 15 APR 52. In general, you should focus on analyzing 02666TAF4 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
02666TAF4 Predictive Forecast Models
02666TAF4's time-series forecasting models is one of many 02666TAF4's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 02666TAF4's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards 02666TAF4 in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, 02666TAF4's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from 02666TAF4 options trading.
Other Information on Investing in 02666TAF4 Bond
02666TAF4 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 02666TAF4 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 02666TAF4 with respect to the benefits of owning 02666TAF4 security.