BIG RIV STL Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 97.34

08949LAB6   97.34  3.57  3.54%   
08949LAB6's future price is the expected price of 08949LAB6 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BIG RIV STL performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 08949LAB6 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 08949LAB6 Correlation, 08949LAB6 Hype Analysis, 08949LAB6 Volatility, 08949LAB6 History as well as 08949LAB6 Performance.
  
Please specify 08949LAB6's target price for which you would like 08949LAB6 odds to be computed.

08949LAB6 Target Price Odds to finish below 97.34

The tendency of 08949LAB6 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 97.34 90 days 97.34 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 08949LAB6 to move below current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This BIG RIV STL probability density function shows the probability of 08949LAB6 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BIG RIV STL has a beta of -0.0516. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 08949LAB6 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BIG RIV STL is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BIG RIV STL has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   08949LAB6 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 08949LAB6

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BIG RIV STL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
96.6197.3498.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
95.4596.18107.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
95.9296.6597.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
98.1099.64101.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 08949LAB6. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 08949LAB6's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 08949LAB6's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BIG RIV STL.

08949LAB6 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 08949LAB6 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 08949LAB6's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BIG RIV STL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 08949LAB6 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.72
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

08949LAB6 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 08949LAB6 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BIG RIV STL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BIG RIV STL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

08949LAB6 Technical Analysis

08949LAB6's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 08949LAB6 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BIG RIV STL. In general, you should focus on analyzing 08949LAB6 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

08949LAB6 Predictive Forecast Models

08949LAB6's time-series forecasting models is one of many 08949LAB6's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 08949LAB6's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BIG RIV STL

Checking the ongoing alerts about 08949LAB6 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BIG RIV STL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BIG RIV STL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 08949LAB6 Bond

08949LAB6 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 08949LAB6 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 08949LAB6 with respect to the benefits of owning 08949LAB6 security.