COLUMBIA PIPELINE GROUP Odds of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 116.58

198280AF6   98.61  1.05  1.05%   
COLUMBIA's future price is the expected price of COLUMBIA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of COLUMBIA PIPELINE GROUP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out COLUMBIA Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, COLUMBIA Correlation, COLUMBIA Hype Analysis, COLUMBIA Volatility, COLUMBIA History as well as COLUMBIA Performance.
  
Please specify COLUMBIA's target price for which you would like COLUMBIA odds to be computed.

COLUMBIA Target Price Odds to finish over 116.58

The tendency of COLUMBIA Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  116.58  or more in 90 days
 98.61 90 days 116.58 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of COLUMBIA to move over  116.58  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This COLUMBIA PIPELINE GROUP probability density function shows the probability of COLUMBIA Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of COLUMBIA PIPELINE price to stay between its current price of  98.61  and  116.58  at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon COLUMBIA has a beta of 0.0435. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, COLUMBIA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding COLUMBIA PIPELINE GROUP will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally COLUMBIA PIPELINE GROUP has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   COLUMBIA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for COLUMBIA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as COLUMBIA PIPELINE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.4098.6198.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
98.5998.8099.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
98.6998.9099.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
98.5099.0699.62
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as COLUMBIA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against COLUMBIA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, COLUMBIA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in COLUMBIA PIPELINE.

COLUMBIA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. COLUMBIA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the COLUMBIA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold COLUMBIA PIPELINE GROUP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of COLUMBIA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.54

COLUMBIA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of COLUMBIA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for COLUMBIA PIPELINE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
COLUMBIA PIPELINE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from bizjournals.com: Mosaic plots its expansion into former Finnegans Brew space

COLUMBIA Technical Analysis

COLUMBIA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. COLUMBIA Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of COLUMBIA PIPELINE GROUP. In general, you should focus on analyzing COLUMBIA Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

COLUMBIA Predictive Forecast Models

COLUMBIA's time-series forecasting models is one of many COLUMBIA's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary COLUMBIA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about COLUMBIA PIPELINE

Checking the ongoing alerts about COLUMBIA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for COLUMBIA PIPELINE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
COLUMBIA PIPELINE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from bizjournals.com: Mosaic plots its expansion into former Finnegans Brew space

Other Information on Investing in COLUMBIA Bond

COLUMBIA financial ratios help investors to determine whether COLUMBIA Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in COLUMBIA with respect to the benefits of owning COLUMBIA security.