CONOCO FDG 725 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 111.94

20825UAC8   110.28  3.65  3.20%   
CONOCO's future price is the expected price of CONOCO instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CONOCO FDG 725 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CONOCO Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, CONOCO Correlation, CONOCO Hype Analysis, CONOCO Volatility, CONOCO History as well as CONOCO Performance.
  
Please specify CONOCO's target price for which you would like CONOCO odds to be computed.

CONOCO Target Price Odds to finish over 111.94

The tendency of CONOCO Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  111.94  or more in 90 days
 110.28 90 days 111.94 
over 95.65
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CONOCO to move over  111.94  or more in 90 days from now is over 95.65 (This CONOCO FDG 725 probability density function shows the probability of CONOCO Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CONOCO FDG 725 price to stay between its current price of  110.28  and  111.94  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CONOCO has a beta of 0.0922. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, CONOCO average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CONOCO FDG 725 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CONOCO FDG 725 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   CONOCO Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CONOCO

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CONOCO FDG 725. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
109.69110.28110.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
99.25112.18112.77
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CONOCO. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CONOCO's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CONOCO's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CONOCO FDG 725.

CONOCO Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CONOCO is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CONOCO's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CONOCO FDG 725, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CONOCO within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
1.77
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

CONOCO Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CONOCO for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CONOCO FDG 725 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CONOCO FDG 725 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Quantbot Technologies LP Increases Stock Holdings in CAVA Group, Inc.

CONOCO Technical Analysis

CONOCO's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CONOCO Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CONOCO FDG 725. In general, you should focus on analyzing CONOCO Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CONOCO Predictive Forecast Models

CONOCO's time-series forecasting models is one of many CONOCO's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CONOCO's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CONOCO FDG 725

Checking the ongoing alerts about CONOCO for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CONOCO FDG 725 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CONOCO FDG 725 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Quantbot Technologies LP Increases Stock Holdings in CAVA Group, Inc.

Other Information on Investing in CONOCO Bond

CONOCO financial ratios help investors to determine whether CONOCO Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CONOCO with respect to the benefits of owning CONOCO security.