CS 75 15 FEB 28 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 108.00

22550L2M2   108.00  0.24  0.22%   
22550L2M2's future price is the expected price of 22550L2M2 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CS 75 15 FEB 28 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 22550L2M2 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 22550L2M2 Correlation, 22550L2M2 Hype Analysis, 22550L2M2 Volatility, 22550L2M2 History as well as 22550L2M2 Performance.
  
Please specify 22550L2M2's target price for which you would like 22550L2M2 odds to be computed.

22550L2M2 Target Price Odds to finish over 108.00

The tendency of 22550L2M2 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 108.00 90 days 108.00 
about 6.01
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 22550L2M2 to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.01 (This CS 75 15 FEB 28 probability density function shows the probability of 22550L2M2 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 22550L2M2 has a beta of 0.0275. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, 22550L2M2 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CS 75 15 FEB 28 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CS 75 15 FEB 28 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   22550L2M2 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 22550L2M2

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 22550L2M2. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
107.71108.00108.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
97.20108.60108.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
107.59107.88108.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
107.20107.67108.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 22550L2M2. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 22550L2M2's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 22550L2M2's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 22550L2M2.

22550L2M2 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 22550L2M2 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 22550L2M2's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CS 75 15 FEB 28, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 22550L2M2 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0046
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.65
Ir
Information ratio -0.35

22550L2M2 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 22550L2M2 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 22550L2M2 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
22550L2M2 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

22550L2M2 Technical Analysis

22550L2M2's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 22550L2M2 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CS 75 15 FEB 28. In general, you should focus on analyzing 22550L2M2 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

22550L2M2 Predictive Forecast Models

22550L2M2's time-series forecasting models is one of many 22550L2M2's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 22550L2M2's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about 22550L2M2

Checking the ongoing alerts about 22550L2M2 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 22550L2M2 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
22550L2M2 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 22550L2M2 Bond

22550L2M2 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 22550L2M2 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 22550L2M2 with respect to the benefits of owning 22550L2M2 security.