MRKGR 325 19 MAR 25 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 98.56
| 26867LAL4 | 99.47 0.03 0.03% |
MRKGR |
MRKGR Target Price Odds to finish over 98.56
The tendency of MRKGR Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 98.56 in 90 days |
| 99.47 | 90 days | 98.56 | about 45.51 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MRKGR to stay above 98.56 in 90 days from now is about 45.51 (This MRKGR 325 19 MAR 25 probability density function shows the probability of MRKGR Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MRKGR 325 19 price to stay between 98.56 and its current price of 99.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.81 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MRKGR 325 19 MAR 25 has a beta of -0.1. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MRKGR are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MRKGR 325 19 MAR 25 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MRKGR 325 19 MAR 25 has an alpha of 0.0086, implying that it can generate a 0.008631 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MRKGR Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for MRKGR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MRKGR 325 19. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MRKGR Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MRKGR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MRKGR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MRKGR 325 19 MAR 25, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MRKGR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
MRKGR Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MRKGR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MRKGR 325 19 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MRKGR 325 19 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
MRKGR Technical Analysis
MRKGR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MRKGR Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MRKGR 325 19 MAR 25. In general, you should focus on analyzing MRKGR Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MRKGR Predictive Forecast Models
MRKGR's time-series forecasting models is one of many MRKGR's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MRKGR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MRKGR 325 19
Checking the ongoing alerts about MRKGR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MRKGR 325 19 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MRKGR 325 19 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in MRKGR Bond
MRKGR financial ratios help investors to determine whether MRKGR Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MRKGR with respect to the benefits of owning MRKGR security.