EDISON INTL 4125 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 95.74
| 281020AM9 | 95.74 2.17 2.22% |
EDISON |
EDISON Target Price Odds to finish below 95.74
The tendency of EDISON Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 95.74 | 90 days | 95.74 | about 13.02 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EDISON to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 13.02 (This EDISON INTL 4125 probability density function shows the probability of EDISON Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon EDISON INTL 4125 has a beta of -0.21. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding EDISON are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, EDISON INTL 4125 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally EDISON INTL 4125 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. EDISON Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for EDISON
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EDISON INTL 4125. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.EDISON Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EDISON is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EDISON's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold EDISON INTL 4125, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EDISON within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
EDISON Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of EDISON for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for EDISON INTL 4125 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| EDISON INTL 4125 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
EDISON Technical Analysis
EDISON's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EDISON Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of EDISON INTL 4125. In general, you should focus on analyzing EDISON Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
EDISON Predictive Forecast Models
EDISON's time-series forecasting models is one of many EDISON's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary EDISON's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about EDISON INTL 4125
Checking the ongoing alerts about EDISON for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for EDISON INTL 4125 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| EDISON INTL 4125 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in EDISON Bond
EDISON financial ratios help investors to determine whether EDISON Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EDISON with respect to the benefits of owning EDISON security.