Lyxor Treasury (France) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 99.9
| US37 Etf | EUR 104.04 0.88 0.85% |
Lyxor |
Lyxor Treasury Target Price Odds to finish below 99.9
The tendency of Lyxor Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 99.90 or more in 90 days |
| 104.04 | 90 days | 99.90 | about 31.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lyxor Treasury to drop to € 99.90 or more in 90 days from now is about 31.77 (This Lyxor Treasury 3 7Y probability density function shows the probability of Lyxor Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lyxor Treasury 3 price to stay between € 99.90 and its current price of €104.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.35 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lyxor Treasury has a beta of 0.12. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Lyxor Treasury average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lyxor Treasury 3 7Y will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lyxor Treasury 3 7Y has an alpha of 0.0625, implying that it can generate a 0.0625 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lyxor Treasury Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Lyxor Treasury
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lyxor Treasury 3. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lyxor Treasury Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lyxor Treasury is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lyxor Treasury's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lyxor Treasury 3 7Y, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lyxor Treasury within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Lyxor Treasury Technical Analysis
Lyxor Treasury's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lyxor Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lyxor Treasury 3 7Y. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lyxor Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lyxor Treasury Predictive Forecast Models
Lyxor Treasury's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lyxor Treasury's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lyxor Treasury's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Lyxor Treasury in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Lyxor Treasury's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Lyxor Treasury options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Lyxor Etf
Lyxor Treasury financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lyxor Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lyxor with respect to the benefits of owning Lyxor Treasury security.