GRAINGER W W Odds of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 88.4
| 384802AD6 | 88.52 2.70 3.15% |
GRAINGER |
GRAINGER Target Price Odds to finish below 88.4
The tendency of GRAINGER Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 88.40 or more in 90 days |
| 88.52 | 90 days | 88.40 | about 84.09 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GRAINGER to drop to 88.40 or more in 90 days from now is about 84.09 (This GRAINGER W W probability density function shows the probability of GRAINGER Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GRAINGER W W price to stay between 88.40 and its current price of 88.52 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GRAINGER has a beta of 0.16. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, GRAINGER average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GRAINGER W W will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GRAINGER W W has an alpha of 0.0248, implying that it can generate a 0.0248 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). GRAINGER Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GRAINGER
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GRAINGER W W. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GRAINGER Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GRAINGER is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GRAINGER's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GRAINGER W W, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GRAINGER within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
GRAINGER Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GRAINGER for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GRAINGER W W can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GRAINGER W W generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
GRAINGER Technical Analysis
GRAINGER's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GRAINGER Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GRAINGER W W. In general, you should focus on analyzing GRAINGER Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GRAINGER Predictive Forecast Models
GRAINGER's time-series forecasting models is one of many GRAINGER's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GRAINGER's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GRAINGER W W
Checking the ongoing alerts about GRAINGER for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GRAINGER W W help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GRAINGER W W generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in GRAINGER Bond
GRAINGER financial ratios help investors to determine whether GRAINGER Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GRAINGER with respect to the benefits of owning GRAINGER security.