Grupo Televisa SAB Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 132.94
| 40049JAT4 | 114.07 4.62 4.22% |
Grupo |
Grupo Target Price Odds to finish over 132.94
The tendency of Grupo Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 132.94 or more in 90 days |
| 114.07 | 90 days | 132.94 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grupo to move over 132.94 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Grupo Televisa SAB probability density function shows the probability of Grupo Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Grupo Televisa SAB price to stay between its current price of 114.07 and 132.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.05 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Grupo Televisa SAB has a beta of -0.0909. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Grupo are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Grupo Televisa SAB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Grupo Televisa SAB has an alpha of 0.0058, implying that it can generate a 0.005806 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Grupo Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Grupo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grupo Televisa SAB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Grupo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grupo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grupo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grupo Televisa SAB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grupo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Grupo Technical Analysis
Grupo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grupo Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grupo Televisa SAB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grupo Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Grupo Predictive Forecast Models
Grupo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Grupo's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Grupo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Grupo in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Grupo's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Grupo options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Grupo Bond
Grupo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grupo Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grupo with respect to the benefits of owning Grupo security.