KROGER 75 percent Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 112.36

501044BZ3   112.52  2.13  1.86%   
KROGER's future price is the expected price of KROGER instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of KROGER 75 percent performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out KROGER Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, KROGER Correlation, KROGER Hype Analysis, KROGER Volatility, KROGER History as well as KROGER Performance.
  
Please specify KROGER's target price for which you would like KROGER odds to be computed.

KROGER Target Price Odds to finish below 112.36

The tendency of KROGER Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  112.36  or more in 90 days
 112.52 90 days 112.36 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KROGER to drop to  112.36  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This KROGER 75 percent probability density function shows the probability of KROGER Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KROGER 75 percent price to stay between  112.36  and its current price of 112.52 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KROGER 75 percent has a beta of -0.0076. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding KROGER are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, KROGER 75 percent is likely to outperform the market. Additionally KROGER 75 percent has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   KROGER Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for KROGER

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KROGER 75 percent. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
112.07112.52112.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
101.27113.71114.16
Details

KROGER Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KROGER is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KROGER's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KROGER 75 percent, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KROGER within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0076
σ
Overall volatility
1.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.4

KROGER Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KROGER for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KROGER 75 percent can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KROGER 75 percent generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

KROGER Technical Analysis

KROGER's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KROGER Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KROGER 75 percent. In general, you should focus on analyzing KROGER Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

KROGER Predictive Forecast Models

KROGER's time-series forecasting models is one of many KROGER's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KROGER's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about KROGER 75 percent

Checking the ongoing alerts about KROGER for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KROGER 75 percent help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KROGER 75 percent generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in KROGER Bond

KROGER financial ratios help investors to determine whether KROGER Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KROGER with respect to the benefits of owning KROGER security.