MGM RESORTS INTL Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 98.96

552953CF6   98.96  1.00  1.00%   
552953CF6's future price is the expected price of 552953CF6 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of MGM RESORTS INTL performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 552953CF6 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 552953CF6 Correlation, 552953CF6 Hype Analysis, 552953CF6 Volatility, 552953CF6 History as well as 552953CF6 Performance.
  
Please specify 552953CF6's target price for which you would like 552953CF6 odds to be computed.

552953CF6 Target Price Odds to finish over 98.96

The tendency of 552953CF6 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 98.96 90 days 98.96 
about 61.79
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 552953CF6 to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 61.79 (This MGM RESORTS INTL probability density function shows the probability of 552953CF6 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MGM RESORTS INTL has a beta of -0.3. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 552953CF6 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MGM RESORTS INTL is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MGM RESORTS INTL has an alpha of 0.0198, implying that it can generate a 0.0198 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   552953CF6 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 552953CF6

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MGM RESORTS INTL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.6198.9699.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
88.8089.15108.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 552953CF6. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 552953CF6's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 552953CF6's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MGM RESORTS INTL.

552953CF6 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 552953CF6 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 552953CF6's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MGM RESORTS INTL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 552953CF6 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.3
σ
Overall volatility
1.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

552953CF6 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 552953CF6 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MGM RESORTS INTL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MGM RESORTS INTL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

552953CF6 Technical Analysis

552953CF6's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 552953CF6 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MGM RESORTS INTL. In general, you should focus on analyzing 552953CF6 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

552953CF6 Predictive Forecast Models

552953CF6's time-series forecasting models is one of many 552953CF6's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 552953CF6's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about MGM RESORTS INTL

Checking the ongoing alerts about 552953CF6 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MGM RESORTS INTL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MGM RESORTS INTL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 552953CF6 Bond

552953CF6 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 552953CF6 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 552953CF6 with respect to the benefits of owning 552953CF6 security.