MAYOCL 3196 15 NOV 61 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 58.12
| 578454AF7 | 67.67 0.39 0.57% |
MAYOCL |
MAYOCL Target Price Odds to finish below 58.12
The tendency of MAYOCL Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 58.12 or more in 90 days |
| 67.67 | 90 days | 58.12 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MAYOCL to drop to 58.12 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This MAYOCL 3196 15 NOV 61 probability density function shows the probability of MAYOCL Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MAYOCL 3196 15 price to stay between 58.12 and its current price of 67.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MAYOCL has a beta of 0.33. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, MAYOCL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MAYOCL 3196 15 NOV 61 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MAYOCL 3196 15 NOV 61 has an alpha of 0.087, implying that it can generate a 0.087 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MAYOCL Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for MAYOCL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MAYOCL 3196 15. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MAYOCL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MAYOCL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MAYOCL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MAYOCL 3196 15 NOV 61, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MAYOCL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
MAYOCL Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MAYOCL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MAYOCL 3196 15 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MAYOCL 3196 15 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
MAYOCL Technical Analysis
MAYOCL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MAYOCL Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MAYOCL 3196 15 NOV 61. In general, you should focus on analyzing MAYOCL Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MAYOCL Predictive Forecast Models
MAYOCL's time-series forecasting models is one of many MAYOCL's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MAYOCL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MAYOCL 3196 15
Checking the ongoing alerts about MAYOCL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MAYOCL 3196 15 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MAYOCL 3196 15 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in MAYOCL Bond
MAYOCL financial ratios help investors to determine whether MAYOCL Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MAYOCL with respect to the benefits of owning MAYOCL security.