PPL ELEC UTILS Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 90.65

69351UAR4   90.65  0.40  0.44%   
69351UAR4's future price is the expected price of 69351UAR4 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PPL ELEC UTILS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 69351UAR4 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 69351UAR4 Correlation, 69351UAR4 Hype Analysis, 69351UAR4 Volatility, 69351UAR4 History as well as 69351UAR4 Performance.
  
Please specify 69351UAR4's target price for which you would like 69351UAR4 odds to be computed.

69351UAR4 Target Price Odds to finish over 90.65

The tendency of 69351UAR4 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 90.65 90 days 90.65 
about 80.8
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 69351UAR4 to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 80.8 (This PPL ELEC UTILS probability density function shows the probability of 69351UAR4 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PPL ELEC UTILS has a beta of -0.26. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 69351UAR4 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PPL ELEC UTILS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PPL ELEC UTILS has an alpha of 0.0022, implying that it can generate a 0.002156 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   69351UAR4 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 69351UAR4

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PPL ELEC UTILS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.3090.6592.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.6475.9999.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
90.0691.4192.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
90.5090.7390.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 69351UAR4. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 69351UAR4's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 69351UAR4's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PPL ELEC UTILS.

69351UAR4 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 69351UAR4 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 69351UAR4's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PPL ELEC UTILS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 69351UAR4 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.26
σ
Overall volatility
2.63
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

69351UAR4 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 69351UAR4 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PPL ELEC UTILS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PPL ELEC UTILS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

69351UAR4 Technical Analysis

69351UAR4's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 69351UAR4 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PPL ELEC UTILS. In general, you should focus on analyzing 69351UAR4 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

69351UAR4 Predictive Forecast Models

69351UAR4's time-series forecasting models is one of many 69351UAR4's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 69351UAR4's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PPL ELEC UTILS

Checking the ongoing alerts about 69351UAR4 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PPL ELEC UTILS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PPL ELEC UTILS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 69351UAR4 Bond

69351UAR4 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 69351UAR4 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 69351UAR4 with respect to the benefits of owning 69351UAR4 security.