SASOL 4375 18 SEP 26 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 95.78

80386WAC9   95.78  0.50  0.52%   
SASOL's future price is the expected price of SASOL instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SASOL 4375 18 SEP 26 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SASOL Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, SASOL Correlation, SASOL Hype Analysis, SASOL Volatility, SASOL History as well as SASOL Performance.
For information on how to trade SASOL Bond refer to our How to Trade SASOL Bond guide.
  
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SASOL Target Price Odds to finish over 95.78

The tendency of SASOL Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 95.78 90 days 95.78 
about 67.34
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SASOL to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 67.34 (This SASOL 4375 18 SEP 26 probability density function shows the probability of SASOL Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SASOL 4375 18 SEP 26 has a beta of -0.0045. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SASOL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SASOL 4375 18 SEP 26 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SASOL 4375 18 SEP 26 has an alpha of 0.0185, implying that it can generate a 0.0185 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SASOL Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SASOL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SASOL 4375 18. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
95.3295.7896.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
90.6391.09105.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SASOL. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SASOL's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SASOL's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SASOL 4375 18.

SASOL Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SASOL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SASOL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SASOL 4375 18 SEP 26, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SASOL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0045
σ
Overall volatility
0.89
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

SASOL Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SASOL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SASOL 4375 18 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SASOL 4375 18 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

SASOL Technical Analysis

SASOL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SASOL Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SASOL 4375 18 SEP 26. In general, you should focus on analyzing SASOL Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SASOL Predictive Forecast Models

SASOL's time-series forecasting models is one of many SASOL's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SASOL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SASOL 4375 18

Checking the ongoing alerts about SASOL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SASOL 4375 18 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SASOL 4375 18 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in SASOL Bond

SASOL financial ratios help investors to determine whether SASOL Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SASOL with respect to the benefits of owning SASOL security.