LDOS 7125 01 JUL 32 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 106.74

808626AE5   106.74  3.87  3.50%   
808626AE5's future price is the expected price of 808626AE5 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of LDOS 7125 01 JUL 32 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 808626AE5 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 808626AE5 Correlation, 808626AE5 Hype Analysis, 808626AE5 Volatility, 808626AE5 History as well as 808626AE5 Performance.
  
Please specify 808626AE5's target price for which you would like 808626AE5 odds to be computed.

808626AE5 Target Price Odds to finish over 106.74

The tendency of 808626AE5 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 106.74 90 days 106.74 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 808626AE5 to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This LDOS 7125 01 JUL 32 probability density function shows the probability of 808626AE5 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LDOS 7125 01 JUL 32 has a beta of -0.0046. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 808626AE5 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, LDOS 7125 01 JUL 32 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally LDOS 7125 01 JUL 32 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   808626AE5 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 808626AE5

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LDOS 7125 01. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
104.71106.74108.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
91.2393.26117.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
103.13105.16107.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
104.55108.27111.99
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 808626AE5. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 808626AE5's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 808626AE5's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LDOS 7125 01.

808626AE5 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 808626AE5 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 808626AE5's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LDOS 7125 01 JUL 32, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 808626AE5 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0046
σ
Overall volatility
2.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

808626AE5 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 808626AE5 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LDOS 7125 01 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LDOS 7125 01 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

808626AE5 Technical Analysis

808626AE5's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 808626AE5 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LDOS 7125 01 JUL 32. In general, you should focus on analyzing 808626AE5 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

808626AE5 Predictive Forecast Models

808626AE5's time-series forecasting models is one of many 808626AE5's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 808626AE5's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about LDOS 7125 01

Checking the ongoing alerts about 808626AE5 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LDOS 7125 01 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LDOS 7125 01 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 808626AE5 Bond

808626AE5 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 808626AE5 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 808626AE5 with respect to the benefits of owning 808626AE5 security.