TFC 5122 26 JAN 34 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 96.57

89788MAM4   96.57  2.56  2.58%   
89788MAM4's future price is the expected price of 89788MAM4 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TFC 5122 26 JAN 34 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 89788MAM4 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 89788MAM4 Correlation, 89788MAM4 Hype Analysis, 89788MAM4 Volatility, 89788MAM4 History as well as 89788MAM4 Performance.
  
Please specify 89788MAM4's target price for which you would like 89788MAM4 odds to be computed.

89788MAM4 Target Price Odds to finish over 96.57

The tendency of 89788MAM4 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 96.57 90 days 96.57 
about 90.71
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 89788MAM4 to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 90.71 (This TFC 5122 26 JAN 34 probability density function shows the probability of 89788MAM4 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TFC 5122 26 JAN 34 has a beta of -0.17. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 89788MAM4 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, TFC 5122 26 JAN 34 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally TFC 5122 26 JAN 34 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   89788MAM4 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 89788MAM4

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TFC 5122 26. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
95.9096.5797.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
80.5381.20106.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
93.1293.8094.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
94.2997.82101.34
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 89788MAM4. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 89788MAM4's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 89788MAM4's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TFC 5122 26.

89788MAM4 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 89788MAM4 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 89788MAM4's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TFC 5122 26 JAN 34, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 89788MAM4 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.17
σ
Overall volatility
2.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

89788MAM4 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 89788MAM4 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TFC 5122 26 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TFC 5122 26 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

89788MAM4 Technical Analysis

89788MAM4's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 89788MAM4 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TFC 5122 26 JAN 34. In general, you should focus on analyzing 89788MAM4 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

89788MAM4 Predictive Forecast Models

89788MAM4's time-series forecasting models is one of many 89788MAM4's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 89788MAM4's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TFC 5122 26

Checking the ongoing alerts about 89788MAM4 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TFC 5122 26 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TFC 5122 26 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 89788MAM4 Bond

89788MAM4 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 89788MAM4 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 89788MAM4 with respect to the benefits of owning 89788MAM4 security.