United Airlines Holdings Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 98.16
| 910047AK5 | 99.61 0.29 0.29% |
United |
United Target Price Odds to finish below 98.16
The tendency of United Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 98.16 or more in 90 days |
| 99.61 | 90 days | 98.16 | nearly 4.46 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of United to drop to 98.16 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.46 (This United Airlines Holdings probability density function shows the probability of United Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of United Airlines Holdings price to stay between 98.16 and its current price of 99.61 at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.73 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon United Airlines Holdings has a beta of -0.07. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding United are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, United Airlines Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally United Airlines Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. United Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for United
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Airlines Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.United Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. United is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the United's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold United Airlines Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of United within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.25 |
United Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of United for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for United Airlines Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| United generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Goldman Sachs Cadence Design Systems, Inc. Is A Top Growth Investor Stock |
United Technical Analysis
United's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. United Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of United Airlines Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing United Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
United Predictive Forecast Models
United's time-series forecasting models is one of many United's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary United's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about United Airlines Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about United for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for United Airlines Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| United generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Goldman Sachs Cadence Design Systems, Inc. Is A Top Growth Investor Stock |
Other Information on Investing in United Bond
United financial ratios help investors to determine whether United Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in United with respect to the benefits of owning United security.